Key Takeaways:
About 2 in 3 small business owners (66%) believe a recession will hit in the next 12 months.
Over 1 in 3 business owners who attempted to secure funding (36%) said it was more difficult in the past year.
Over 1 in 4 small business owners (28%) don't feel confident in their ability to access capital if needed during a downturn.
Nearly 2 in 5 small business owners (39%) admit they're operating without a financial safety net.
Just over 1 in 4 small businesses have a recession plan.
Recession Prep: Few Have a Plan, Many Feel Exposed
Over 1 in 3 small business owners (39%) said the media is underplaying how bad the economy really is. Only 35% said coverage is accurate, while 26% believe the threat is being overhyped.
66% of small business owners believe a recession will hit in the next 12 months.
Millennial business owners were more likely to feel unprepared. Over half (56%) said they weren't ready for a recession, while just 1 in 3 (32%) felt prepared.
Gen Z business owners were more confident about a downturn: 61% felt prepared, while 1 in 3 (30%) said they weren't.
Top Areas Where Businesses Feel Most Vulnerable in a Downturn
Cash flow and revenue consistency: 50%
Client/customer retention: 36%
Sales and marketing: 29%
Supply chain or inventory: 29%
Operational overhead: 15%
Top Industries Most Prepared for a Recession
Legal
Finance
Hospitality
Top Industries Least Prepared for a Recession
Marketing
Arts/Entertainment
Retail
Top 5 Actions Businesses Have Taken Amid Economic Volatility
No changes yet: 40%
Reduced discretionary spending: 36%
Delayed new purchases or upgrades: 32%
Raised prices to offset costs: 17%
Paused hiring or expansion plans: 15%
How Many Small Businesses Have a Recession Plan?
No, not preparing at this time: 43%
Not yet, but working on one: 30%
Yes, an informal plan: 23%
Yes, a detailed, documented plan: 4%
What's Keeping SMB Owners Up at Night?
Over 1 in 3 business owners who attempted to secure funding (36%) said they faced more difficulty doing so in the past 12 months.
Over 1 in 4 small business owners (28%) said they do not feel confident in their ability to access capital if needed during a downturn.
Nearly 2 in 5 small business owners (39%) admit they're operating without a financial safety net.
Financial Safety Nets Small Businesses Currently Have
Cash reserves or emergency savings: 39%
A business credit card or line of credit: 34%
A business savings account or CD: 17%
Access to family/investor capital: 15%
An active small business loan: 4%
Industries Most Confident in Making Operational Cuts During a Downturn
Marketing
Hospitality
Finance
Education
Legal
Methodology
We surveyed 300 American small business owners to uncover how small business owners in the U.S. are actively preparing for a potential recession. The average age was 43; 42% were female, 57% were male, and 1% were non-binary.
About Clarify Capital
Clarify Capital helps business owners secure the financing they need to thrive in today's competitive marketplace, including no-doc business loans and fast business loans. Our tailored financial solutions support entrepreneurial dreams, turning visions into reality.
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Emma Parker
Senior Funding Manager
Emma holds a B.S. in finance from NYU and has been working in the business financing industry for over a decade. She is passionate about helping small business owners grow by finding the right funding option that makes sense for them. More about the Clarify team →
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